Reversion to the Mean - My Favorite Math Theorem

So, Bad Beat Sunday turned into Reversion Monday. I know I said "a couple days off", but I had to sit down and play just a few hands before bed. So, I was in early position and dealt AA in the first 5 minutes on the $2/$4 NL table. The table was very loose, so I limped in and to my joy was raised and a re-raised, I bet the pot for $150 and was called by the original raiser, the re-raiser folded. Flop comes 26K rainbow and I checked to the caller. He bets the pot, and I just called. I know, I'm greedy, but I am sure this guy will put all his chips in with AK. I checked the turn, which came as a blank, 8. He pushes all-in and I call to see a pair of TT. The river, unlike yesterday was no miracle, and I took down a $1,000 pot within the first round of betting.

About 10 minutes later, I am on the button and call a raise with suited T9h. Again, this table is pretty loose, so I'm not sure what my opponent is raising with - at all! I usually play tighter under these circumstances, but with my position, I took a flop for $14. To my surprise, the flop drops T3T. He checks, I check. Turn comes the magical 9. He bets the pot and I min raise. He pushes all-in with KT. My full house rides as the river comes 7 for a $650 pot.

Good start to the night, but I did have an unbelievably bad beat to finish the night and temper my enthusiasm. I am the big blind with suited 68h and call a button raise of $14. Flop comes AT3 of hearts. I hit my flush cold. He bets the flop, telling me he has an A, but certainly hasn't hit the flush. I re-raise the pot, and he goes all-in. When he calls, I'm estatic to see an As9c turned over. No flush draw. But I painfully watch an A on the turn and a 9 on the river to make his full house. SO FRIGGIN PAINFUL!!! He had a 2.8% chance of hitting that, and took down a $650 pot after being completely OWNED. He never should have called my pot re-raise after the flop with his weak A9 and no heart. But, he was determined to give his money away. Fate just wouldn't have it tonight......










End of the night tally: BK +$1800 with $400 buy-in and one unbelievable bad beat. That partially makes up for the terrible Sunday, but again, I can't fault any of my plays tonight. I just don't want to see one of these MIRACULOUS BAD BEATS in the WSOP!!!!!